OSNOVID
Engineering Europe’s Tech Renaissance.

Systematic Intelligence for European Technology Markets.

Intelligence Briefings

View Archive →
Asset Analysis Q3 2025

Infobip: Evaluation of Talent Density vs. CapEx

Analysis of cloud communications infrastructure relative to Istrian talent cost-basis. Divergence from Western European CPaaS valuation multiples.

Macro Strategy OCT 2025

Cyclical Consolidation in Euro-Zone Banking

Monte dei Paschi (€13.3B) consolidation events viewed through the lens of long-wave historical data. Implications for fintech liquidity.

Proprietary Model UPDATED

Swiss-Croatian Arbitrage Index (SCAI) v1.0

Documentation of the six-factor methodology evaluating regulatory positioning, tax-efficiency, and cross-border market access.

Systematic Framework

Our thesis relies on reproducible frameworks combining quantitative scoring with historical structural analysis.

01. Valuation Gap

The Metric: Croatian assets (SCAI 7.7) currently trade at 55-65% discounts to Swiss equivalents (SCAI 8.8) despite a narrowing fundamental differential of only 13%.

02. Historical Continuity

The Context: Mapping modern fiber infrastructure against historical trade routes (Venetian/Yugoslav) to predict logistic and data-flow bottlenecks.

03. Dispassionate Analysis

The Standard: Analysis rooted purely in systematic methodology. Intellectual continuity supersedes narrative-driven commentary.

€2.3B
AI Funding Liquidity (Q1 2025)
127
Entities Tracked (SCAI)
13.4%
Avg. Arbitrage Spread
3
Liquidity Events >$500M
*Data aggregated from Eurostat, Dealroom, and proprietary internal tracking. Last updated: Oct 12, 2025.
“The impediment to action advances action. What stands in the way becomes the way.”
Marcus Aurelius, Meditations 5.20

Application: European markets present structural impediments that reveal opportunities. We utilize systematic frameworks to identify where regulatory complexity and fragmented capital markets create persistent arbitrage.